Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 15?
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 Vol.
$84,190 Vol.
May 15, 2026
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 Vol.
$84,190 Vol.
May 15, 2026
81°F or below
$3,063 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$2,203 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,320 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$10,756 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$9,387 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$14,772 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$16,003 Vol.
Yes
94-95°F
$12,597 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$8,141 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,134 Vol.
No
100°F or higher
$2,813 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$84,190End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$84,190End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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