Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high in the low 70s°F for Los Angeles on May 18, driven by onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that typically caps temperatures along the coast. This aligns with the market's concentration around 70-73°F while the broad distribution reflects uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and potential late-day clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 74°F, but persistent stratus or stronger westerly winds could keep readings closer to 68-69°F, whereas any delay in the marine push might allow brief warming toward 74°F or higher. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 18?
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
74°F or higher 13%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
34%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
13%
70-71°F 34%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
74°F or higher 13%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
55°F or below
$735 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,047 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,858 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$635 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$556 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$17 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$64 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$41 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$74 Vol.
34%
72-73°F
$90 Vol.
22%
74°F or higher
$71 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high in the low 70s°F for Los Angeles on May 18, driven by onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that typically caps temperatures along the coast. This aligns with the market's concentration around 70-73°F while the broad distribution reflects uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and potential late-day clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 74°F, but persistent stratus or stronger westerly winds could keep readings closer to 68-69°F, whereas any delay in the marine push might allow brief warming toward 74°F or higher. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,172End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high in the low 70s°F for Los Angeles on May 18, driven by onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that typically caps temperatures along the coast. This aligns with the market's concentration around 70-73°F while the broad distribution reflects uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and potential late-day clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 74°F, but persistent stratus or stronger westerly winds could keep readings closer to 68-69°F, whereas any delay in the marine push might allow brief warming toward 74°F or higher. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,172End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXRecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high in the low 70s°F for Los Angeles on May 18, driven by onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that typically caps temperatures along the coast. This aligns with the market's concentration around 70-73°F while the broad distribution reflects uncertainty from variable sea-breeze timing and potential late-day clearing. Climatologically, mid-May highs average near 74°F, but persistent stratus or stronger westerly winds could keep readings closer to 68-69°F, whereas any delay in the marine push might allow brief warming toward 74°F or higher. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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