Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Qingdao’s May 18 high will likely settle near the seasonal mid-May average of 19–21 °C, reflecting the moderating influence of cooler Yellow Sea surface waters and light southerly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge. Short-range model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these three outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes above 23 °C or below 18 °C. Traders therefore price the market according to the narrow uncertainty range typical for coastal Shandong in late spring, where sea-breeze effects and limited synoptic forcing limit large temperature swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 18?
18°C 20%
19°C 20%
20°C 19%
21°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
19%
21°C
15%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
3%
18°C 20%
19°C 20%
20°C 19%
21°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
14°C or below
$214 Vol.
1%
15°C
$65 Vol.
1%
16°C
$70 Vol.
3%
17°C
$163 Vol.
6%
18°C
$28 Vol.
20%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$7 Vol.
19%
21°C
$86 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$22 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Qingdao’s May 18 high will likely settle near the seasonal mid-May average of 19–21 °C, reflecting the moderating influence of cooler Yellow Sea surface waters and light southerly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge. Short-range model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these three outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes above 23 °C or below 18 °C. Traders therefore price the market according to the narrow uncertainty range typical for coastal Shandong in late spring, where sea-breeze effects and limited synoptic forcing limit large temperature swings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$655End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Qingdao’s May 18 high will likely settle near the seasonal mid-May average of 19–21 °C, reflecting the moderating influence of cooler Yellow Sea surface waters and light southerly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge. Short-range model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these three outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes above 23 °C or below 18 °C. Traders therefore price the market according to the narrow uncertainty range typical for coastal Shandong in late spring, where sea-breeze effects and limited synoptic forcing limit large temperature swings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$655End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Qingdao’s May 18 high will likely settle near the seasonal mid-May average of 19–21 °C, reflecting the moderating influence of cooler Yellow Sea surface waters and light southerly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge. Short-range model runs show only modest day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around these three outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes above 23 °C or below 18 °C. Traders therefore price the market according to the narrow uncertainty range typical for coastal Shandong in late spring, where sea-breeze effects and limited synoptic forcing limit large temperature swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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