Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 31°C (41.5%) and 30°C (39.5%) for the highest temperature at Singapore's Changi Airport on May 16, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 24-hour forecast projecting a 34°C maximum under inter-monsoon conditions with light northwest winds and thundery showers targeting northern and eastern areas in the late afternoon. These showers, common during May's pre-southwest monsoon transition, frequently suppress peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, as seen in today's modest 30.1°C high amid similar patterns. Differentiating factors include midday insolation timing versus shower onset—earlier clouds cap at 30°C, while delayed activity allows 31°C amid urban heat island effects and high humidity near 90%. Fortnightly outlooks signal 33–34°C norms, but daily variability keeps lower outcomes viable ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
31°C 38%
30°C 33%
29°C 16.9%
32°C or higher 12%
$50,454 Vol.
$50,454 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
33%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
12%
31°C 38%
30°C 33%
29°C 16.9%
32°C or higher 12%
$50,454 Vol.
$50,454 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
33%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 31°C (41.5%) and 30°C (39.5%) for the highest temperature at Singapore's Changi Airport on May 16, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 24-hour forecast projecting a 34°C maximum under inter-monsoon conditions with light northwest winds and thundery showers targeting northern and eastern areas in the late afternoon. These showers, common during May's pre-southwest monsoon transition, frequently suppress peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, as seen in today's modest 30.1°C high amid similar patterns. Differentiating factors include midday insolation timing versus shower onset—earlier clouds cap at 30°C, while delayed activity allows 31°C amid urban heat island effects and high humidity near 90%. Fortnightly outlooks signal 33–34°C norms, but daily variability keeps lower outcomes viable ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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