Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's May 17 high temperature, with 71°F or below leading at 33.5% amid a fragmented distribution centering near the seasonal average of 72°F. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project mild conditions under weak upper-level flow, but key variables like diurnally driven cumulus cloud cover, potential morning stratus, and light winds could cap peaks in the low 70s or allow clearer skies to reach 76-77°F. Historical May 17 highs range from 47°F (1983 snow event) to 92°F, underscoring spring variability. New 12z model runs and afternoon Denver-area soundings expected to clarify trajectories before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 17?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 17?
71°F or below 87%
72-73°F 6%
76-77°F 3.1%
74-75°F 2.8%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
71°F or below
87%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 87%
72-73°F 6%
76-77°F 3.1%
74-75°F 2.8%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
71°F or below
$297 Vol.
87%
72-73°F
$201 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$222 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$303 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$452 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$224 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$219 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$481 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$456 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$481 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's May 17 high temperature, with 71°F or below leading at 33.5% amid a fragmented distribution centering near the seasonal average of 72°F. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project mild conditions under weak upper-level flow, but key variables like diurnally driven cumulus cloud cover, potential morning stratus, and light winds could cap peaks in the low 70s or allow clearer skies to reach 76-77°F. Historical May 17 highs range from 47°F (1983 snow event) to 92°F, underscoring spring variability. New 12z model runs and afternoon Denver-area soundings expected to clarify trajectories before resolution at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,621End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's May 17 high temperature, with 71°F or below leading at 33.5% amid a fragmented distribution centering near the seasonal average of 72°F. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project mild conditions under weak upper-level flow, but key variables like diurnally driven cumulus cloud cover, potential morning stratus, and light winds could cap peaks in the low 70s or allow clearer skies to reach 76-77°F. Historical May 17 highs range from 47°F (1983 snow event) to 92°F, underscoring spring variability. New 12z model runs and afternoon Denver-area soundings expected to clarify trajectories before resolution at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,621End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's May 17 high temperature, with 71°F or below leading at 33.5% amid a fragmented distribution centering near the seasonal average of 72°F. National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project mild conditions under weak upper-level flow, but key variables like diurnally driven cumulus cloud cover, potential morning stratus, and light winds could cap peaks in the low 70s or allow clearer skies to reach 76-77°F. Historical May 17 highs range from 47°F (1983 snow event) to 92°F, underscoring spring variability. New 12z model runs and afternoon Denver-area soundings expected to clarify trajectories before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions