Official measurements from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station—the market's designated resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines—confirm the highest temperature on May 15, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during the afternoon, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and high humidity throughout the day suppressed solar heating, preventing the typical May midday warmup that often reaches 27–29°C on average. This aligns with short-range forecast models from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau, which predicted subdued highs amid unstable atmospheric conditions. While final data verification is pending, realistic challenges would require a rare station recalibration or anomalous sensor reading, as real-time observations show no upward revision potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 15?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,627 Vol.
$57,627 Vol.
May 15, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$57,627 Vol.
$57,627 Vol.
May 15, 2026
17°C or below
$938 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,713 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,527 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,991 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,008 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,830 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,583 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,180 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$5,078 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,589 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$11,189 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station—the market's designated resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines—confirm the highest temperature on May 15, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during the afternoon, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and high humidity throughout the day suppressed solar heating, preventing the typical May midday warmup that often reaches 27–29°C on average. This aligns with short-range forecast models from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau, which predicted subdued highs amid unstable atmospheric conditions. While final data verification is pending, realistic challenges would require a rare station recalibration or anomalous sensor reading, as real-time observations show no upward revision potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$57,627End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station—the market's designated resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines—confirm the highest temperature on May 15, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during the afternoon, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and high humidity throughout the day suppressed solar heating, preventing the typical May midday warmup that often reaches 27–29°C on average. This aligns with short-range forecast models from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau, which predicted subdued highs amid unstable atmospheric conditions. While final data verification is pending, realistic challenges would require a rare station recalibration or anomalous sensor reading, as real-time observations show no upward revision potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,627End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station—the market's designated resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines—confirm the highest temperature on May 15, 2026, peaked at exactly 24°C during the afternoon, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover, heavy showers, and high humidity throughout the day suppressed solar heating, preventing the typical May midday warmup that often reaches 27–29°C on average. This aligns with short-range forecast models from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau, which predicted subdued highs amid unstable atmospheric conditions. While final data verification is pending, realistic challenges would require a rare station recalibration or anomalous sensor reading, as real-time observations show no upward revision potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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