Latest ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS places Chongqing’s May 18 maximum in a tight 24–27 °C cluster, driven by persistent light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture that caps afternoon heating. Small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sichuan Basin determine whether readings top out near the long-term mid-May average of roughly 26 °C or remain a degree cooler. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are pricing the genuine short-range uncertainty in these variables, producing nearly equal implied odds across the four leading outcomes rather than strong conviction in any single value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 18?
25°C 26%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 20%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
16%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
22%
27°C
20%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
5%
25°C 26%
26°C 22%
24°C 22%
27°C 20%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
19°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$81 Vol.
1%
21°C
$118 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$57 Vol.
22%
27°C
$32 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C or higher
$34 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS places Chongqing’s May 18 maximum in a tight 24–27 °C cluster, driven by persistent light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture that caps afternoon heating. Small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sichuan Basin determine whether readings top out near the long-term mid-May average of roughly 26 °C or remain a degree cooler. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are pricing the genuine short-range uncertainty in these variables, producing nearly equal implied odds across the four leading outcomes rather than strong conviction in any single value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$440End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS places Chongqing’s May 18 maximum in a tight 24–27 °C cluster, driven by persistent light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture that caps afternoon heating. Small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sichuan Basin determine whether readings top out near the long-term mid-May average of roughly 26 °C or remain a degree cooler. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are pricing the genuine short-range uncertainty in these variables, producing nearly equal implied odds across the four leading outcomes rather than strong conviction in any single value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$440End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKLatest ensemble guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like GFS places Chongqing’s May 18 maximum in a tight 24–27 °C cluster, driven by persistent light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture that caps afternoon heating. Small differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing over the Sichuan Basin determine whether readings top out near the long-term mid-May average of roughly 26 °C or remain a degree cooler. With resolution less than 48 hours away, traders are pricing the genuine short-range uncertainty in these variables, producing nearly equal implied odds across the four leading outcomes rather than strong conviction in any single value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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