Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 17 near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the market-implied 50% probability for 28°C or higher as the leading outcome amid ensemble mean highs of 27-29°C. This follows a recent warm spell, including an observed 29°C peak on May 14 at Chongqing's official monitoring stations, though incoming mid-level clouds may cap intensification potential in the Yangtze River basin's humid subtropical climate, where mid-May historical averages hover at 27°C. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in model spreads, with 25-27°C outcomes at 19.5-21% each; watch CMA's afternoon update and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on Jiangbei Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
26°C 22%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
5%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
22%
27°C
16%
28°C or higher
10%
26°C 22%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$327 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$425 Vol.
1%
21°C
$195 Vol.
1%
22°C
$130 Vol.
3%
23°C
$70 Vol.
5%
24°C
$165 Vol.
18%
25°C
$50 Vol.
19%
26°C
$181 Vol.
22%
27°C
$560 Vol.
16%
28°C or higher
$1,232 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 17 near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the market-implied 50% probability for 28°C or higher as the leading outcome amid ensemble mean highs of 27-29°C. This follows a recent warm spell, including an observed 29°C peak on May 14 at Chongqing's official monitoring stations, though incoming mid-level clouds may cap intensification potential in the Yangtze River basin's humid subtropical climate, where mid-May historical averages hover at 27°C. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in model spreads, with 25-27°C outcomes at 19.5-21% each; watch CMA's afternoon update and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on Jiangbei Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,673End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 17 near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the market-implied 50% probability for 28°C or higher as the leading outcome amid ensemble mean highs of 27-29°C. This follows a recent warm spell, including an observed 29°C peak on May 14 at Chongqing's official monitoring stations, though incoming mid-level clouds may cap intensification potential in the Yangtze River basin's humid subtropical climate, where mid-May historical averages hover at 27°C. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in model spreads, with 25-27°C outcomes at 19.5-21% each; watch CMA's afternoon update and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on Jiangbei Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,673End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKLatest short-range forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Global Forecast System (GFS), and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) project Chongqing's highest temperature on May 17 near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, positioning the market-implied 50% probability for 28°C or higher as the leading outcome amid ensemble mean highs of 27-29°C. This follows a recent warm spell, including an observed 29°C peak on May 14 at Chongqing's official monitoring stations, though incoming mid-level clouds may cap intensification potential in the Yangtze River basin's humid subtropical climate, where mid-May historical averages hover at 27°C. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in model spreads, with 25-27°C outcomes at 19.5-21% each; watch CMA's afternoon update and evening model runs for shifts ahead of resolution based on Jiangbei Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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