Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside BBC Weather and TimeandDate guidance, drive trader consensus toward a 17°C high in Ankara on May 15, with 41.5% implied probability edging out 18°C at 32.5%, amid overcast skies and morning drizzle limiting solar insolation. Persistent low cloud cover from a cool continental air mass—evident in May 14's isolated thunderstorms and highs near 21°C—caps daytime heating, while light winds reduce mixing. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential: full overcast favors 16-17°C, partial breaks enable 18-19°C per model spreads. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 15?
17°C 38%
18°C 35%
19°C 18%
16°C 10%
NEW
$11,649 Vol.
NEW
$11,649 Vol.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
10%
17°C
38%
18°C
35%
19°C
18%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 38%
18°C 35%
19°C 18%
16°C 10%
NEW
$11,649 Vol.
NEW
$11,649 Vol.
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$877 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$639 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$877 Vol.
1%
14°C
$884 Vol.
1%
15°C
$686 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,156 Vol.
10%
17°C
$1,088 Vol.
38%
18°C
$998 Vol.
35%
19°C
$1,006 Vol.
18%
20°C
$1,798 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$1,726 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside BBC Weather and TimeandDate guidance, drive trader consensus toward a 17°C high in Ankara on May 15, with 41.5% implied probability edging out 18°C at 32.5%, amid overcast skies and morning drizzle limiting solar insolation. Persistent low cloud cover from a cool continental air mass—evident in May 14's isolated thunderstorms and highs near 21°C—caps daytime heating, while light winds reduce mixing. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential: full overcast favors 16-17°C, partial breaks enable 18-19°C per model spreads. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$11,649End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside BBC Weather and TimeandDate guidance, drive trader consensus toward a 17°C high in Ankara on May 15, with 41.5% implied probability edging out 18°C at 32.5%, amid overcast skies and morning drizzle limiting solar insolation. Persistent low cloud cover from a cool continental air mass—evident in May 14's isolated thunderstorms and highs near 21°C—caps daytime heating, while light winds reduce mixing. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential: full overcast favors 16-17°C, partial breaks enable 18-19°C per model spreads. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,649End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, alongside BBC Weather and TimeandDate guidance, drive trader consensus toward a 17°C high in Ankara on May 15, with 41.5% implied probability edging out 18°C at 32.5%, amid overcast skies and morning drizzle limiting solar insolation. Persistent low cloud cover from a cool continental air mass—evident in May 14's isolated thunderstorms and highs near 21°C—caps daytime heating, while light winds reduce mixing. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential: full overcast favors 16-17°C, partial breaks enable 18-19°C per model spreads. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and real-time observations today could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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