Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting mid-60s highs under lingering post-frontal conditions following a slow-moving system that brought showers late May 13. Cool northwest winds around 10 mph, increased cloud cover, and scattered precipitation potential suppress diurnal heating below the 71°F climatological normal, with boundary layer mixing limiting peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS slightly warmer at 65-66°F assuming afternoon clearing, ECMWF cooler near 63°F with persistent showers—and urban heat island effects at the KN YC station. New 12Z model runs and hourly observations Thursday morning will refine this uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 25%
62-63°F 24%
68-69°F 14%
NEW
$30,592 Vol.
NEW
$30,592 Vol.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 25%
62-63°F 24%
68-69°F 14%
NEW
$30,592 Vol.
NEW
$30,592 Vol.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
$824 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,448 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$5,422 Vol.
7%
62-63°F
$2,855 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$2,023 Vol.
33%
66-67°F
$2,431 Vol.
25%
68-69°F
$2,597 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$3,040 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$3,125 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting mid-60s highs under lingering post-frontal conditions following a slow-moving system that brought showers late May 13. Cool northwest winds around 10 mph, increased cloud cover, and scattered precipitation potential suppress diurnal heating below the 71°F climatological normal, with boundary layer mixing limiting peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS slightly warmer at 65-66°F assuming afternoon clearing, ECMWF cooler near 63°F with persistent showers—and urban heat island effects at the KN YC station. New 12Z model runs and hourly observations Thursday morning will refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$30,592End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting mid-60s highs under lingering post-frontal conditions following a slow-moving system that brought showers late May 13. Cool northwest winds around 10 mph, increased cloud cover, and scattered precipitation potential suppress diurnal heating below the 71°F climatological normal, with boundary layer mixing limiting peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS slightly warmer at 65-66°F assuming afternoon clearing, ECMWF cooler near 63°F with persistent showers—and urban heat island effects at the KN YC station. New 12Z model runs and hourly observations Thursday morning will refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,592End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 64-65°F (32%) and 62-63°F (30.5%) for New York City's highest temperature at Central Park on May 14, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting mid-60s highs under lingering post-frontal conditions following a slow-moving system that brought showers late May 13. Cool northwest winds around 10 mph, increased cloud cover, and scattered precipitation potential suppress diurnal heating below the 71°F climatological normal, with boundary layer mixing limiting peaks. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS slightly warmer at 65-66°F assuming afternoon clearing, ECMWF cooler near 63°F with persistent showers—and urban heat island effects at the KN YC station. New 12Z model runs and hourly observations Thursday morning will refine this uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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