Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 13, driven by official NOAA observational data from the Ben Gurion International Airport weather station (LLBG), where hourly METAR reports confirm a midday peak of 27°C under partly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. This aligns with the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast capping highs at 26°C amid stable Mediterranean high-pressure systems, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–27°C maximums. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, current cooling trends post-peak reduce risks; a late-afternoon heat burst from prolonged clear skies could push to 28°C, but model consensus deems this unlikely ahead of evening data finalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 13?
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$81,919 Vol.
$81,919 Vol.
May 13, 2026
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C or higher <1%
$81,919 Vol.
$81,919 Vol.
May 13, 2026
27°C
$11,700 Vol.
100%
28°C
$18,471 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,931 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$7,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 13, driven by official NOAA observational data from the Ben Gurion International Airport weather station (LLBG), where hourly METAR reports confirm a midday peak of 27°C under partly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. This aligns with the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast capping highs at 26°C amid stable Mediterranean high-pressure systems, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–27°C maximums. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, current cooling trends post-peak reduce risks; a late-afternoon heat burst from prolonged clear skies could push to 28°C, but model consensus deems this unlikely ahead of evening data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ET
Volume
$81,919End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 13, driven by official NOAA observational data from the Ben Gurion International Airport weather station (LLBG), where hourly METAR reports confirm a midday peak of 27°C under partly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. This aligns with the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast capping highs at 26°C amid stable Mediterranean high-pressure systems, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–27°C maximums. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, current cooling trends post-peak reduce risks; a late-afternoon heat burst from prolonged clear skies could push to 28°C, but model consensus deems this unlikely ahead of evening data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,919End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 1:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching exactly 27°C on May 13, driven by official NOAA observational data from the Ben Gurion International Airport weather station (LLBG), where hourly METAR reports confirm a midday peak of 27°C under partly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. This aligns with the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast capping highs at 26°C amid stable Mediterranean high-pressure systems, consistent with May climatological averages of 26–27°C maximums. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, current cooling trends post-peak reduce risks; a late-afternoon heat burst from prolonged clear skies could push to 28°C, but model consensus deems this unlikely ahead of evening data finalization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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