Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport reaching exactly 22°C today, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models converging on this peak amid a cool air mass. Morning observations confirmed overnight lows near 11-12°C, consistent with mid-May climatology of 20-22°C average highs following an early-month cold snap with northerly flows and scattered showers. Persistent partial cloud cover and moderate breezes limit further warming. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine enhancing solar heating to 23°C or higher, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; ongoing airport station data through evening will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$71,886 Vol.
$71,886 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$71,886 Vol.
$71,886 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport reaching exactly 22°C today, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models converging on this peak amid a cool air mass. Morning observations confirmed overnight lows near 11-12°C, consistent with mid-May climatology of 20-22°C average highs following an early-month cold snap with northerly flows and scattered showers. Persistent partial cloud cover and moderate breezes limit further warming. Realistic challenges include prolonged afternoon sunshine enhancing solar heating to 23°C or higher, though model uncertainty bands remain narrow; ongoing airport station data through evening will finalize resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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