Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance center Seoul’s May 17 overnight minimum near 15–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the tight market spread between 14 °C and 15 °C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by any residual afternoon cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, potentially lifting the low toward 17 °C, while fuller clearing and calmer boundary-layer conditions could enhance surface cooling and push readings to 13–14 °C. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows of 12–15 °C, so the current model consensus reflects modest variability rather than extremes. Updated KMA runs and real-time observations through tonight remain the decisive inputs that could shift probabilities among these tightly clustered outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
14°C 37%
15°C 28%
13°C 12.0%
16°C 10%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
6%
13°C
12%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
10%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 37%
15°C 28%
13°C 12.0%
16°C 10%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
$511 Vol.
6%
13°C
$712 Vol.
12%
14°C
$91 Vol.
31%
15°C
$96 Vol.
28%
16°C
$79 Vol.
10%
17°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,713 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,014 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,983 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance center Seoul’s May 17 overnight minimum near 15–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the tight market spread between 14 °C and 15 °C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by any residual afternoon cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, potentially lifting the low toward 17 °C, while fuller clearing and calmer boundary-layer conditions could enhance surface cooling and push readings to 13–14 °C. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows of 12–15 °C, so the current model consensus reflects modest variability rather than extremes. Updated KMA runs and real-time observations through tonight remain the decisive inputs that could shift probabilities among these tightly clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$9,941End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance center Seoul’s May 17 overnight minimum near 15–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the tight market spread between 14 °C and 15 °C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by any residual afternoon cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, potentially lifting the low toward 17 °C, while fuller clearing and calmer boundary-layer conditions could enhance surface cooling and push readings to 13–14 °C. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows of 12–15 °C, so the current model consensus reflects modest variability rather than extremes. Updated KMA runs and real-time observations through tonight remain the decisive inputs that could shift probabilities among these tightly clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,941End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble guidance center Seoul’s May 17 overnight minimum near 15–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds, aligning with the tight market spread between 14 °C and 15 °C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by any residual afternoon cloud cover that traps longwave radiation, potentially lifting the low toward 17 °C, while fuller clearing and calmer boundary-layer conditions could enhance surface cooling and push readings to 13–14 °C. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows of 12–15 °C, so the current model consensus reflects modest variability rather than extremes. Updated KMA runs and real-time observations through tonight remain the decisive inputs that could shift probabilities among these tightly clustered outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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