Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 18?
36°C or higher 32%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
27%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
32%
36°C or higher 32%
35°C 29%
34°C 27%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
$646 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,443 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$531 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$123 Vol.
1%
31°C
$220 Vol.
1%
32°C
$288 Vol.
3%
33°C
$49 Vol.
8%
34°C
$10 Vol.
27%
35°C
$6 Vol.
27%
36°C or higher
$1 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,895End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,895End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCRecent Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts for mid-May point to maximum temperatures of 34–37°C in Karachi, driven by pre-monsoon continental heating from northwest air masses offset by moderating sea breezes off the Arabian Sea. This equilibrium creates the tight clustering around 34°C, 35°C, and 36°C-plus outcomes, as variable wind speeds and high humidity levels can shift daily peaks by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 35°C, with the current setup tracking normal absent any strong heatwave signal. Traders are weighting the next 48-hour model updates from the PMD and observed sea-surface temperatures, which will determine whether land heating or marine influence dominates on May 18.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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