Latest Météo France forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Paris highs clustering around 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 15°C at 36% implied probability amid a tight 14-17°C range. Persistent cool air advection from northerly flows and low-pressure systems over western Europe have suppressed temperatures below May climatological averages of 19°C, as seen in recent days' overcast skies and showers—May 14 highs near 14°C, May 15 at 15-16°C—with slight improvement expected Saturday via reduced precipitation but lingering cloud cover limiting solar heating. Model spread remains narrow at ±1-2°C, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C; watch afternoon Météo France updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Paris stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 16?
15°C 37%
16°C 26%
14°C 23%
17°C 10%
NEW
$10,663 Vol.
NEW
$10,663 Vol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
23%
15°C
37%
16°C
26%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 37%
16°C 26%
14°C 23%
17°C 10%
NEW
$10,663 Vol.
NEW
$10,663 Vol.
May 16, 2026
10°C or below
$6,037 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$530 Vol.
1%
13°C
$473 Vol.
5%
14°C
$558 Vol.
23%
15°C
$491 Vol.
37%
16°C
$734 Vol.
26%
17°C
$367 Vol.
10%
18°C
$453 Vol.
1%
19°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$487 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo France forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Paris highs clustering around 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 15°C at 36% implied probability amid a tight 14-17°C range. Persistent cool air advection from northerly flows and low-pressure systems over western Europe have suppressed temperatures below May climatological averages of 19°C, as seen in recent days' overcast skies and showers—May 14 highs near 14°C, May 15 at 15-16°C—with slight improvement expected Saturday via reduced precipitation but lingering cloud cover limiting solar heating. Model spread remains narrow at ±1-2°C, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C; watch afternoon Météo France updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,663End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo France forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Paris highs clustering around 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 15°C at 36% implied probability amid a tight 14-17°C range. Persistent cool air advection from northerly flows and low-pressure systems over western Europe have suppressed temperatures below May climatological averages of 19°C, as seen in recent days' overcast skies and showers—May 14 highs near 14°C, May 15 at 15-16°C—with slight improvement expected Saturday via reduced precipitation but lingering cloud cover limiting solar heating. Model spread remains narrow at ±1-2°C, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C; watch afternoon Météo France updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,663End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo France forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Paris highs clustering around 15-16°C on May 16, driving trader consensus with 15°C at 36% implied probability amid a tight 14-17°C range. Persistent cool air advection from northerly flows and low-pressure systems over western Europe have suppressed temperatures below May climatological averages of 19°C, as seen in recent days' overcast skies and showers—May 14 highs near 14°C, May 15 at 15-16°C—with slight improvement expected Saturday via reduced precipitation but lingering cloud cover limiting solar heating. Model spread remains narrow at ±1-2°C, though unexpected clearing could nudge toward 17°C; watch afternoon Météo France updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Paris stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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