Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Peachtree City office, projecting a high near 86-88°F in metro Atlanta on May 16 under mostly sunny skies with south winds around 5 mph, supported by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting above-normal temperatures—climatological May 16 highs average 81°F. The tight race between 84-85°F (32.5%) and 86-87°F (32.5%) stems from ensemble model spread, where GFS runs trend slightly warmer with fuller insolation and deeper boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF variants hint at partial afternoon cloudiness or 40% thunderstorm odds potentially limiting peaks to 84-85°F; 82-83°F (22%) accounts for any convective capping. New 12Z model guidance and real-time observations today could sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on May 16?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 16?
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 7%
$12,155 Vol.
$12,155 Vol.
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 33%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 7%
$12,155 Vol.
$12,155 Vol.
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Peachtree City office, projecting a high near 86-88°F in metro Atlanta on May 16 under mostly sunny skies with south winds around 5 mph, supported by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting above-normal temperatures—climatological May 16 highs average 81°F. The tight race between 84-85°F (32.5%) and 86-87°F (32.5%) stems from ensemble model spread, where GFS runs trend slightly warmer with fuller insolation and deeper boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF variants hint at partial afternoon cloudiness or 40% thunderstorm odds potentially limiting peaks to 84-85°F; 82-83°F (22%) accounts for any convective capping. New 12Z model guidance and real-time observations today could sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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