Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models point to overnight lows in Miami on May 19 hovering near 77–79 °F, consistent with mid-May climatology where average minima reach 76 °F. High humidity and light winds are expected to limit radiational cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave a degree or two lower. Conversely, clearer skies and calmer conditions would favor readings near 80 °F. This narrow band of outcomes keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest model runs and surface observations to resolve the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on May 19?
78-79°F 22%
73°F or below 20.6%
80-81°F 20.0%
76-77°F 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
73°F or below
21%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 22%
73°F or below 20.6%
80-81°F 20.0%
76-77°F 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
73°F or below
$83 Vol.
21%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$8 Vol.
12%
78-79°F
$11 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$213 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$69 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$35 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$786 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$271 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models point to overnight lows in Miami on May 19 hovering near 77–79 °F, consistent with mid-May climatology where average minima reach 76 °F. High humidity and light winds are expected to limit radiational cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave a degree or two lower. Conversely, clearer skies and calmer conditions would favor readings near 80 °F. This narrow band of outcomes keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest model runs and surface observations to resolve the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,836End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models point to overnight lows in Miami on May 19 hovering near 77–79 °F, consistent with mid-May climatology where average minima reach 76 °F. High humidity and light winds are expected to limit radiational cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave a degree or two lower. Conversely, clearer skies and calmer conditions would favor readings near 80 °F. This narrow band of outcomes keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest model runs and surface observations to resolve the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,836End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service and private forecast models point to overnight lows in Miami on May 19 hovering near 77–79 °F, consistent with mid-May climatology where average minima reach 76 °F. High humidity and light winds are expected to limit radiational cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or a weak sea-breeze circulation could shave a degree or two lower. Conversely, clearer skies and calmer conditions would favor readings near 80 °F. This narrow band of outcomes keeps probabilities tightly clustered, with traders weighing the latest model runs and surface observations to resolve the exact threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions