Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Paris’s May 17 daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under a persistent cool, moist air mass with light southwesterly flow and extensive low stratus. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud thickness and the timing of any afternoon clearing; thicker overcast caps solar heating and favors 15 °C, while modest breaks could briefly push readings to 17 °C. Historical May climatology shows similar spring days averaging 18 °C, yet the current unstable pattern and limited warm advection keep the 15 °C and 16 °C bins nearly even in trader pricing, with only modest probability allocated to 17 °C or higher. Final model runs and morning observations will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 36%
15°C 35%
17°C 19%
14°C 10%
NEW
$16,252 Vol.
NEW
$16,252 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
10%
15°C
35%
16°C
36%
17°C
19%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 36%
15°C 35%
17°C 19%
14°C 10%
NEW
$16,252 Vol.
NEW
$16,252 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$904 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$968 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$800 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,761 Vol.
10%
15°C
$1,536 Vol.
35%
16°C
$1,390 Vol.
36%
17°C
$2,109 Vol.
19%
18°C
$2,692 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,851 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$1,628 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Paris’s May 17 daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under a persistent cool, moist air mass with light southwesterly flow and extensive low stratus. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud thickness and the timing of any afternoon clearing; thicker overcast caps solar heating and favors 15 °C, while modest breaks could briefly push readings to 17 °C. Historical May climatology shows similar spring days averaging 18 °C, yet the current unstable pattern and limited warm advection keep the 15 °C and 16 °C bins nearly even in trader pricing, with only modest probability allocated to 17 °C or higher. Final model runs and morning observations will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$16,252End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Paris’s May 17 daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under a persistent cool, moist air mass with light southwesterly flow and extensive low stratus. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud thickness and the timing of any afternoon clearing; thicker overcast caps solar heating and favors 15 °C, while modest breaks could briefly push readings to 17 °C. Historical May climatology shows similar spring days averaging 18 °C, yet the current unstable pattern and limited warm advection keep the 15 °C and 16 °C bins nearly even in trader pricing, with only modest probability allocated to 17 °C or higher. Final model runs and morning observations will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,252End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance clusters Paris’s May 17 daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under a persistent cool, moist air mass with light southwesterly flow and extensive low stratus. Model spread arises mainly from differences in cloud thickness and the timing of any afternoon clearing; thicker overcast caps solar heating and favors 15 °C, while modest breaks could briefly push readings to 17 °C. Historical May climatology shows similar spring days averaging 18 °C, yet the current unstable pattern and limited warm advection keep the 15 °C and 16 °C bins nearly even in trader pricing, with only modest probability allocated to 17 °C or higher. Final model runs and morning observations will determine the precise peak before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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