Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Amsterdam on May 18, driven by a persistent northwesterly flow bringing cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 16°C amid transitional spring conditions. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure over northern Europe, though minor variations in wind speed or localized clearing could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the tight clustering around 15°C reflecting both historical precedent and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 18?
15°C 36%
14°C 25%
16°C 23%
13°C 7.2%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
25%
15°C
36%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
2%
15°C 36%
14°C 25%
16°C 23%
13°C 7.2%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$316 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$184 Vol.
1%
12°C
$218 Vol.
1%
13°C
$275 Vol.
7%
14°C
$644 Vol.
25%
15°C
$359 Vol.
36%
16°C
$274 Vol.
23%
17°C
$166 Vol.
5%
18°C or higher
$240 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Amsterdam on May 18, driven by a persistent northwesterly flow bringing cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 16°C amid transitional spring conditions. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure over northern Europe, though minor variations in wind speed or localized clearing could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the tight clustering around 15°C reflecting both historical precedent and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,023End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Amsterdam on May 18, driven by a persistent northwesterly flow bringing cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 16°C amid transitional spring conditions. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure over northern Europe, though minor variations in wind speed or localized clearing could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the tight clustering around 15°C reflecting both historical precedent and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,023End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a likely maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Amsterdam on May 18, driven by a persistent northwesterly flow bringing cool Atlantic air and moderate cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 16°C amid transitional spring conditions. Model consensus shows limited warming potential due to stable high pressure over northern Europe, though minor variations in wind speed or localized clearing could nudge readings slightly higher or lower. Traders appear to weigh these variables heavily, with the tight clustering around 15°C reflecting both historical precedent and the narrow uncertainty range in short-term numerical weather predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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