Latest forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a mild air mass over southern Germany on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C in Munich. This aligns closely with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C, driven by modest southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Minor model spread around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any light showers, which could cap the peak by 1–2°C. With no strong warm advection or blocking high expected, trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to the most recent 48-hour model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 18?
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 18%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
18%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 18%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$290 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$153 Vol.
1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
3%
17°C
$243 Vol.
6%
18°C
$226 Vol.
18%
19°C
$82 Vol.
34%
20°C
$160 Vol.
29%
21°C
$170 Vol.
8%
22°C
$108 Vol.
4%
23°C or higher
$277 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a mild air mass over southern Germany on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C in Munich. This aligns closely with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C, driven by modest southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Minor model spread around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any light showers, which could cap the peak by 1–2°C. With no strong warm advection or blocking high expected, trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to the most recent 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,931End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a mild air mass over southern Germany on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C in Munich. This aligns closely with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C, driven by modest southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Minor model spread around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any light showers, which could cap the peak by 1–2°C. With no strong warm advection or blocking high expected, trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to the most recent 48-hour model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,931End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMLatest forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a mild air mass over southern Germany on May 18, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C in Munich. This aligns closely with mid-May climatological normals of 18–19°C, driven by modest southerly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Minor model spread around 18–20°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any light showers, which could cap the peak by 1–2°C. With no strong warm advection or blocking high expected, trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes, reflecting real-time adjustments to the most recent 48-hour model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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