Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich of 16–17°C on May 17, with the slight edge for 17°C reflecting modest afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. A lingering cool air mass from the prior polar jet position keeps surface heating limited despite typical May solar angles, while scattered showers and higher cloud cover in some runs cap peaks near 16°C. Historical DWD normals for mid-May show an average high near 18°C, but current synoptic conditions align more closely with the cooler side of climatology. Traders are closely monitoring the next model update and official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Munich Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 37%
17°C 33%
15°C 16%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
16%
16°C
37%
17°C
33%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 37%
17°C 33%
15°C 16%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$148 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$979 Vol.
1%
14°C
$479 Vol.
3%
15°C
$823 Vol.
16%
16°C
$601 Vol.
37%
17°C
$497 Vol.
33%
18°C
$540 Vol.
13%
19°C
$287 Vol.
2%
20°C
$202 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$772 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich of 16–17°C on May 17, with the slight edge for 17°C reflecting modest afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. A lingering cool air mass from the prior polar jet position keeps surface heating limited despite typical May solar angles, while scattered showers and higher cloud cover in some runs cap peaks near 16°C. Historical DWD normals for mid-May show an average high near 18°C, but current synoptic conditions align more closely with the cooler side of climatology. Traders are closely monitoring the next model update and official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,752End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich of 16–17°C on May 17, with the slight edge for 17°C reflecting modest afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. A lingering cool air mass from the prior polar jet position keeps surface heating limited despite typical May solar angles, while scattered showers and higher cloud cover in some runs cap peaks near 16°C. Historical DWD normals for mid-May show an average high near 18°C, but current synoptic conditions align more closely with the cooler side of climatology. Traders are closely monitoring the next model update and official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Munich Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,752End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Munich of 16–17°C on May 17, with the slight edge for 17°C reflecting modest afternoon insolation under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. A lingering cool air mass from the prior polar jet position keeps surface heating limited despite typical May solar angles, while scattered showers and higher cloud cover in some runs cap peaks near 16°C. Historical DWD normals for mid-May show an average high near 18°C, but current synoptic conditions align more closely with the cooler side of climatology. Traders are closely monitoring the next model update and official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance ahead of the 24-hour observation window at Munich Airport station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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