Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
12°C 19%
15°C 7.3%
NEW
$10,431 Vol.
NEW
$10,431 Vol.
May 16, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
19%
13°C
43%
14°C
30%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 43%
14°C 30%
12°C 19%
15°C 7.3%
NEW
$10,431 Vol.
NEW
$10,431 Vol.
May 16, 2026
7°C or below
$815 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$798 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,426 Vol.
19%
13°C
$911 Vol.
43%
14°C
$778 Vol.
30%
15°C
$1,257 Vol.
7%
16°C
$1,842 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$591 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,431End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,431End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a high of 13°C (39.5%) or 14°C (28%) in Munich on May 16, aligning with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime maximums near 13°C under persistent overcast skies and scattered showers. A cool northerly airflow from an upper-level trough over central Europe has kept today's high around 12°C—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18°C—limiting solar insolation via thick cloud decks and light precipitation. Model ensembles show tight spreads with low dispersion, reflecting stable synoptic patterns and minimal intensification risk, though brief clearing could nudge toward 14°C; official DWD station measurements at Munich Airport will resolve the market amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions