Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,443 Vol.
$61,443 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,443 Vol.
$61,443 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,424 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,227 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,482 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,243 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,515 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,711 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,574 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,398 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,313 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$9,250 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$6,306 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$61,443End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,443End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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