Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a daytime high near 28°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station on May 16, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and southerly flow—conditions fueling recent unseasonal heat across southeastern Korea, with above-average temperatures through May 14–15. Trader consensus, with 30% implied probability on 28°C and 28% on 29°C, captures model ensemble variability in peak afternoon heating (2–5 p.m. KST) and slight risks from coastal sea breezes or thin clouds potentially capping or boosting maxima. Historical May highs average 24°C here, underscoring the atypical warmth; monitor KMA hourly updates and Wunderground RKPK observations for resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 16?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 16?
29°C 30%
28°C 30%
30°C 17.8%
27°C 12%
NEW
$24,659 Vol.
NEW
$24,659 Vol.
May 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
30%
29°C
30%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 30%
28°C 30%
30°C 17.8%
27°C 12%
NEW
$24,659 Vol.
NEW
$24,659 Vol.
May 16, 2026
22°C or below
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$639 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,422 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,165 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,232 Vol.
4%
27°C
$672 Vol.
12%
28°C
$897 Vol.
30%
29°C
$1,362 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1,329 Vol.
18%
31°C
$1,126 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$4,817 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a daytime high near 28°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station on May 16, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and southerly flow—conditions fueling recent unseasonal heat across southeastern Korea, with above-average temperatures through May 14–15. Trader consensus, with 30% implied probability on 28°C and 28% on 29°C, captures model ensemble variability in peak afternoon heating (2–5 p.m. KST) and slight risks from coastal sea breezes or thin clouds potentially capping or boosting maxima. Historical May highs average 24°C here, underscoring the atypical warmth; monitor KMA hourly updates and Wunderground RKPK observations for resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$24,659End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a daytime high near 28°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station on May 16, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and southerly flow—conditions fueling recent unseasonal heat across southeastern Korea, with above-average temperatures through May 14–15. Trader consensus, with 30% implied probability on 28°C and 28% on 29°C, captures model ensemble variability in peak afternoon heating (2–5 p.m. KST) and slight risks from coastal sea breezes or thin clouds potentially capping or boosting maxima. Historical May highs average 24°C here, underscoring the atypical warmth; monitor KMA hourly updates and Wunderground RKPK observations for resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,659End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a daytime high near 28°C at Busan’s Gimhae International Airport station on May 16, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence warming, and southerly flow—conditions fueling recent unseasonal heat across southeastern Korea, with above-average temperatures through May 14–15. Trader consensus, with 30% implied probability on 28°C and 28% on 29°C, captures model ensemble variability in peak afternoon heating (2–5 p.m. KST) and slight risks from coastal sea breezes or thin clouds potentially capping or boosting maxima. Historical May highs average 24°C here, underscoring the atypical warmth; monitor KMA hourly updates and Wunderground RKPK observations for resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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