Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 15?
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,156 Vol.
$61,156 Vol.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,156 Vol.
$61,156 Vol.
May 15, 2026
16°C or below
$1,669 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,520 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,409 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,804 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,035 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,983 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,452 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,891 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$10,043 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,274 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$7,077 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$61,156End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,156End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological data from Moscow stations, including Vnukovo and VDNKh references monitored by Roshydromet, confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 23°C on May 15 under a high-pressure ridge with southerly winds and intermittent cloud cover that permitted sufficient solar insolation for modest warming above the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS converged on this outcome days prior, reflecting limited convective inhibition and no significant cold-air advection. Trader consensus at near-100% probability for 23°C aligns with these verified observations, though minor adjustments could arise only from final post-processing of hourly readings or station-specific calibration differences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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