Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like the GFS clusters Chongqing’s May 16 maximum temperature between 22 °C and 25 °C, with the tightest probability mass on 22–23 °C. Light southerly flow and elevated low-level moisture are suppressing afternoon boundary-layer heating and promoting scattered cloud cover, keeping surface readings near the lower end of the May climatological range of 24–29 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting limited uncertainty in timing of any clearing or additional moisture influx. Traders are therefore pricing the 22 °C and 23 °C bins highest, while outcomes of 24 °C or above require stronger insolation or drier air that current model consensus does not favor. Final official observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
22°C 41%
21°C 28.6%
23°C 27%
24°C 5%
$30,179 Vol.
$30,179 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C
29%
22°C
41%
23°C
27%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
1%
22°C 41%
21°C 28.6%
23°C 27%
24°C 5%
$30,179 Vol.
$30,179 Vol.
May 16, 2026
21°C
$4,187 Vol.
29%
22°C
$1,755 Vol.
41%
23°C
$1,279 Vol.
27%
24°C
$1,203 Vol.
5%
25°C or higher
$3,979 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like the GFS clusters Chongqing’s May 16 maximum temperature between 22 °C and 25 °C, with the tightest probability mass on 22–23 °C. Light southerly flow and elevated low-level moisture are suppressing afternoon boundary-layer heating and promoting scattered cloud cover, keeping surface readings near the lower end of the May climatological range of 24–29 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting limited uncertainty in timing of any clearing or additional moisture influx. Traders are therefore pricing the 22 °C and 23 °C bins highest, while outcomes of 24 °C or above require stronger insolation or drier air that current model consensus does not favor. Final official observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$30,179End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like the GFS clusters Chongqing’s May 16 maximum temperature between 22 °C and 25 °C, with the tightest probability mass on 22–23 °C. Light southerly flow and elevated low-level moisture are suppressing afternoon boundary-layer heating and promoting scattered cloud cover, keeping surface readings near the lower end of the May climatological range of 24–29 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting limited uncertainty in timing of any clearing or additional moisture influx. Traders are therefore pricing the 22 °C and 23 °C bins highest, while outcomes of 24 °C or above require stronger insolation or drier air that current model consensus does not favor. Final official observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,179End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like the GFS clusters Chongqing’s May 16 maximum temperature between 22 °C and 25 °C, with the tightest probability mass on 22–23 °C. Light southerly flow and elevated low-level moisture are suppressing afternoon boundary-layer heating and promoting scattered cloud cover, keeping surface readings near the lower end of the May climatological range of 24–29 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting limited uncertainty in timing of any clearing or additional moisture influx. Traders are therefore pricing the 22 °C and 23 °C bins highest, while outcomes of 24 °C or above require stronger insolation or drier air that current model consensus does not favor. Final official observations will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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