Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional cluster the daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15–16 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, driving the market’s heaviest implied probability on 15 °C. A post-frontal air mass advected by moderate southerly flow has suppressed temperatures 2–3 °C below the May climatological average of 17–19 °C after mid-week peaks near 22 °C. Variable cloud cover and the narrow uncertainty band in GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs keep 14 °C and 16 °C within reach, while real-time observations and afternoon updates will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 16?
15°C 35%
14°C 28%
16°C 22%
13°C 10.1%
$21,955 Vol.
$21,955 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
10%
14°C
28%
15°C
35%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 35%
14°C 28%
16°C 22%
13°C 10.1%
$21,955 Vol.
$21,955 Vol.
May 16, 2026
13°C
$807 Vol.
10%
14°C
$1,490 Vol.
28%
15°C
$1,456 Vol.
35%
16°C
$1,402 Vol.
22%
17°C
$2,249 Vol.
5%
18°C
$2,827 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$2,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional cluster the daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15–16 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, driving the market’s heaviest implied probability on 15 °C. A post-frontal air mass advected by moderate southerly flow has suppressed temperatures 2–3 °C below the May climatological average of 17–19 °C after mid-week peaks near 22 °C. Variable cloud cover and the narrow uncertainty band in GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs keep 14 °C and 16 °C within reach, while real-time observations and afternoon updates will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$21,955End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional cluster the daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15–16 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, driving the market’s heaviest implied probability on 15 °C. A post-frontal air mass advected by moderate southerly flow has suppressed temperatures 2–3 °C below the May climatological average of 17–19 °C after mid-week peaks near 22 °C. Variable cloud cover and the narrow uncertainty band in GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs keep 14 °C and 16 °C within reach, while real-time observations and afternoon updates will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,955End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional cluster the daytime maximum for Buenos Aires on May 16 at 15–16 °C at the official Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, driving the market’s heaviest implied probability on 15 °C. A post-frontal air mass advected by moderate southerly flow has suppressed temperatures 2–3 °C below the May climatological average of 17–19 °C after mid-week peaks near 22 °C. Variable cloud cover and the narrow uncertainty band in GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs keep 14 °C and 16 °C within reach, while real-time observations and afternoon updates will determine whether the peak settles at the central forecast value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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