Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with 14°C (34.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid a 13–16°C cluster, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance showing maximums of 14–15°C under overcast skies from an advancing cold front. Southerly winds ushering cooler Patagonian air have lowered ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which diverge by 1–2°C due to variations in cloud thickness and frontal timing—thicker overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial clearing could push toward 15–16°C. Typical May highs near 17°C are suppressed here, with SMN's May 16 update expected to sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 17?
14°C 37%
15°C 28%
13°C 19%
16°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
35%
15°C
28%
16°C
9%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 37%
15°C 28%
13°C 19%
16°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
9°C or below
$547 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$90 Vol.
1%
11°C
$27 Vol.
4%
12°C
$58 Vol.
8%
13°C
$86 Vol.
19%
14°C
$109 Vol.
35%
15°C
$188 Vol.
28%
16°C
$49 Vol.
9%
17°C
$158 Vol.
4%
18°C
$416 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$912 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with 14°C (34.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid a 13–16°C cluster, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance showing maximums of 14–15°C under overcast skies from an advancing cold front. Southerly winds ushering cooler Patagonian air have lowered ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which diverge by 1–2°C due to variations in cloud thickness and frontal timing—thicker overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial clearing could push toward 15–16°C. Typical May highs near 17°C are suppressed here, with SMN's May 16 update expected to sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,638End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with 14°C (34.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid a 13–16°C cluster, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance showing maximums of 14–15°C under overcast skies from an advancing cold front. Southerly winds ushering cooler Patagonian air have lowered ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which diverge by 1–2°C due to variations in cloud thickness and frontal timing—thicker overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial clearing could push toward 15–16°C. Typical May highs near 17°C are suppressed here, with SMN's May 16 update expected to sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,638End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 17, with 14°C (34.5%) edging 15°C (28.0%) amid a 13–16°C cluster, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance showing maximums of 14–15°C under overcast skies from an advancing cold front. Southerly winds ushering cooler Patagonian air have lowered ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which diverge by 1–2°C due to variations in cloud thickness and frontal timing—thicker overcast favors 13–14°C, while partial clearing could push toward 15–16°C. Typical May highs near 17°C are suppressed here, with SMN's May 16 update expected to sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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