Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C in Karachi today, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and typical May climatology with minimal moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. This aligns with recent observations showing daytime peaks of 35–37°C and numerical model consensus projecting similar conditions through the afternoon, supporting the market's 99.2% implied probability for exactly 36°C. Historical averages for mid-May hover near 35°C, with rare exceedances only under anomalous heat plumes. The slim 0.6% chance of 37°C or higher would require an unexpected shift in steering winds or localized urban heat intensification, though no such signals appear in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
$22,330 Vol.
$22,330 Vol.
May 16, 2026
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
<1%
$22,330 Vol.
$22,330 Vol.
May 16, 2026
36°C
$2,980 Vol.
100%
37°C or higher
$1,938 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C in Karachi today, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and typical May climatology with minimal moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. This aligns with recent observations showing daytime peaks of 35–37°C and numerical model consensus projecting similar conditions through the afternoon, supporting the market's 99.2% implied probability for exactly 36°C. Historical averages for mid-May hover near 35°C, with rare exceedances only under anomalous heat plumes. The slim 0.6% chance of 37°C or higher would require an unexpected shift in steering winds or localized urban heat intensification, though no such signals appear in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$22,330End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C in Karachi today, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and typical May climatology with minimal moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. This aligns with recent observations showing daytime peaks of 35–37°C and numerical model consensus projecting similar conditions through the afternoon, supporting the market's 99.2% implied probability for exactly 36°C. Historical averages for mid-May hover near 35°C, with rare exceedances only under anomalous heat plumes. The slim 0.6% chance of 37°C or higher would require an unexpected shift in steering winds or localized urban heat intensification, though no such signals appear in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,330End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature of 36°C in Karachi today, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, clear skies, and typical May climatology with minimal moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. This aligns with recent observations showing daytime peaks of 35–37°C and numerical model consensus projecting similar conditions through the afternoon, supporting the market's 99.2% implied probability for exactly 36°C. Historical averages for mid-May hover near 35°C, with rare exceedances only under anomalous heat plumes. The slim 0.6% chance of 37°C or higher would require an unexpected shift in steering winds or localized urban heat intensification, though no such signals appear in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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