Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 94-95°F (88.1% implied probability) at Miami International Airport today, driven by morning observations already hitting 89°F by early afternoon under persistent upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence and clear skies for prolonged solar heating. National Weather Service models show consensus for mid-90s peaks amid light southwest winds delaying sea breeze onset and limiting thunderstorm coverage to 30%, echoing the record 94°F set at KMIA on May 2 and near-records earlier this week during South Florida's ongoing heat episode. The 10.9% odds for 96°F+ reflect potential for further intensification if convection holds off, though historical May 13 records top out at 95°F (1932); watch afternoon NWS updates for shifts as uncertainty in boundary layer heating remains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 13?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 13?
94-95°F 85.2%
96°F or higher 13.8%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$118,546 Vol.
$118,546 Vol.
May 13, 2026
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
85%
96°F or higher
14%
94-95°F 85.2%
96°F or higher 13.8%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$118,546 Vol.
$118,546 Vol.
May 13, 2026
88-89°F
$23,180 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$24,302 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$22,489 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$9,344 Vol.
85%
96°F or higher
$9,115 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 94-95°F (88.1% implied probability) at Miami International Airport today, driven by morning observations already hitting 89°F by early afternoon under persistent upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence and clear skies for prolonged solar heating. National Weather Service models show consensus for mid-90s peaks amid light southwest winds delaying sea breeze onset and limiting thunderstorm coverage to 30%, echoing the record 94°F set at KMIA on May 2 and near-records earlier this week during South Florida's ongoing heat episode. The 10.9% odds for 96°F+ reflect potential for further intensification if convection holds off, though historical May 13 records top out at 95°F (1932); watch afternoon NWS updates for shifts as uncertainty in boundary layer heating remains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$118,546End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 94-95°F (88.1% implied probability) at Miami International Airport today, driven by morning observations already hitting 89°F by early afternoon under persistent upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence and clear skies for prolonged solar heating. National Weather Service models show consensus for mid-90s peaks amid light southwest winds delaying sea breeze onset and limiting thunderstorm coverage to 30%, echoing the record 94°F set at KMIA on May 2 and near-records earlier this week during South Florida's ongoing heat episode. The 10.9% odds for 96°F+ reflect potential for further intensification if convection holds off, though historical May 13 records top out at 95°F (1932); watch afternoon NWS updates for shifts as uncertainty in boundary layer heating remains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$118,546End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 94-95°F (88.1% implied probability) at Miami International Airport today, driven by morning observations already hitting 89°F by early afternoon under persistent upper-level ridging that promotes subsidence and clear skies for prolonged solar heating. National Weather Service models show consensus for mid-90s peaks amid light southwest winds delaying sea breeze onset and limiting thunderstorm coverage to 30%, echoing the record 94°F set at KMIA on May 2 and near-records earlier this week during South Florida's ongoing heat episode. The 10.9% odds for 96°F+ reflect potential for further intensification if convection holds off, though historical May 13 records top out at 95°F (1932); watch afternoon NWS updates for shifts as uncertainty in boundary layer heating remains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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