Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Moscow today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local Russian services including Yandex Weather and AccuWeather, which uniformly project afternoon peaks of 21–22°C under clearing skies after morning fog. Current observations show temperatures rising from 14°C, with light winds and high pressure favoring this modest warming aligned with early-May climatological norms around 18–20°C averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing the peak to 21°C or brief solar heating pushing to 23°C, though model ensembles show tight agreement; official station data from Moscow's VVC or Domodedovo will resolve by midnight. New hourly updates expected this afternoon could prompt minor shifts before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 13?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$90,491 Vol.
$90,491 Vol.
May 13, 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$90,491 Vol.
$90,491 Vol.
May 13, 2026
22°C
$8,564 Vol.
100%
23°C
$7,146 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,956 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,488 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,234 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,678 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,779 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Moscow today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local Russian services including Yandex Weather and AccuWeather, which uniformly project afternoon peaks of 21–22°C under clearing skies after morning fog. Current observations show temperatures rising from 14°C, with light winds and high pressure favoring this modest warming aligned with early-May climatological norms around 18–20°C averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing the peak to 21°C or brief solar heating pushing to 23°C, though model ensembles show tight agreement; official station data from Moscow's VVC or Domodedovo will resolve by midnight. New hourly updates expected this afternoon could prompt minor shifts before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$90,491End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Moscow today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local Russian services including Yandex Weather and AccuWeather, which uniformly project afternoon peaks of 21–22°C under clearing skies after morning fog. Current observations show temperatures rising from 14°C, with light winds and high pressure favoring this modest warming aligned with early-May climatological norms around 18–20°C averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing the peak to 21°C or brief solar heating pushing to 23°C, though model ensembles show tight agreement; official station data from Moscow's VVC or Domodedovo will resolve by midnight. New hourly updates expected this afternoon could prompt minor shifts before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$90,491End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 22°C in Moscow today, driven by the latest hourly forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside local Russian services including Yandex Weather and AccuWeather, which uniformly project afternoon peaks of 21–22°C under clearing skies after morning fog. Current observations show temperatures rising from 14°C, with light winds and high pressure favoring this modest warming aligned with early-May climatological norms around 18–20°C averages. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing the peak to 21°C or brief solar heating pushing to 23°C, though model ensembles show tight agreement; official station data from Moscow's VVC or Domodedovo will resolve by midnight. New hourly updates expected this afternoon could prompt minor shifts before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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