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icon for Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?

Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?

icon for Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?

Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?

May 14

May 15

May 14

May 15

24°C 28%

23°C 18%

22°C 14%

21°C or below 12%

Polymarket
NEW

24°C 28%

23°C 18%

22°C 14%

21°C or below 12%

Polymarket
NEW

21°C or below

$474 Vol.

12%

22°C

$110 Vol.

14%

23°C

$116 Vol.

18%

24°C

$113 Vol.

28%

25°C

$7 Vol.

12%

26°C

$19 Vol.

11%

27°C

$27 Vol.

5%

28°C

$193 Vol.

4%

29°C

$293 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$460 Vol.

1%

31°C or higher

$318 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Qingdao's May 15 high temperature, with outcomes from 21°C to 26°C each hovering around 17-21% implied probability, driven by divergent global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF showing ensemble means near 23°C but spreads of 3-5°C. Recent cooling trends after early May warmth—peaking near 25°C on May 6 amid a northern China heat wave—have introduced persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, fostering marine layers and sea breezes that cap coastal highs below inland values. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence (favoring 21-23°C) versus diurnal heating under high pressure (pushing 25-26°C); official updates from China Meteorological Administration expected May 14 could sharpen resolution as the event nears. Climatological May averages of 21°C provide baseline context for this tight contest.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,131
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Qingdao's May 15 high temperature, with outcomes from 21°C to 26°C each hovering around 17-21% implied probability, driven by divergent global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF showing ensemble means near 23°C but spreads of 3-5°C. Recent cooling trends after early May warmth—peaking near 25°C on May 6 amid a northern China heat wave—have introduced persistent onshore flow from the Yellow Sea, fostering marine layers and sea breezes that cap coastal highs below inland values. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence (favoring 21-23°C) versus diurnal heating under high pressure (pushing 25-26°C); official updates from China Meteorological Administration expected May 14 could sharpen resolution as the event nears. Climatological May averages of 21°C provide baseline context for this tight contest.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,131
End Date
May 15, 2026
Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24°C" at 28%, followed by "23°C" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?" is "24°C" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.