Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature reaching 27°C—potentially up to 31°C—under clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and strong daytime insolation, driving trader-implied odds for 27°C or higher to 33% amid 2026's anomalously warm spring pattern with recent days hitting 26–30°C. However, GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster at 25–28°C, factoring in possible afternoon sea breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea or thin high-cloud veils, sustaining tight competition for exact 25°C (27%) and 26°C (24%) outcomes against a mid-May climatological baseline of 23–25°C at Seoul station. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor KMA's evening hourly guidance for cloud and wind refinements before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
27°C or higher 33.1%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
24°C 10%
NEW
$108,363 Vol.
NEW
$108,363 Vol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C or higher
33%
27°C or higher 33.1%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
24°C 10%
NEW
$108,363 Vol.
NEW
$108,363 Vol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
$12,754 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,644 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,844 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,999 Vol.
1%
21°C
$11,132 Vol.
1%
22°C
$19,839 Vol.
2%
23°C
$13,394 Vol.
1%
24°C
$11,216 Vol.
10%
25°C
$4,152 Vol.
25%
26°C
$4,241 Vol.
25%
27°C or higher
$13,223 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature reaching 27°C—potentially up to 31°C—under clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and strong daytime insolation, driving trader-implied odds for 27°C or higher to 33% amid 2026's anomalously warm spring pattern with recent days hitting 26–30°C. However, GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster at 25–28°C, factoring in possible afternoon sea breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea or thin high-cloud veils, sustaining tight competition for exact 25°C (27%) and 26°C (24%) outcomes against a mid-May climatological baseline of 23–25°C at Seoul station. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor KMA's evening hourly guidance for cloud and wind refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$108,363End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature reaching 27°C—potentially up to 31°C—under clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and strong daytime insolation, driving trader-implied odds for 27°C or higher to 33% amid 2026's anomalously warm spring pattern with recent days hitting 26–30°C. However, GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster at 25–28°C, factoring in possible afternoon sea breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea or thin high-cloud veils, sustaining tight competition for exact 25°C (27%) and 26°C (24%) outcomes against a mid-May climatological baseline of 23–25°C at Seoul station. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor KMA's evening hourly guidance for cloud and wind refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$108,363End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated May 13, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature reaching 27°C—potentially up to 31°C—under clear skies from a building high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and strong daytime insolation, driving trader-implied odds for 27°C or higher to 33% amid 2026's anomalously warm spring pattern with recent days hitting 26–30°C. However, GFS and ECMWF ensemble means cluster at 25–28°C, factoring in possible afternoon sea breeze moderation from the Yellow Sea or thin high-cloud veils, sustaining tight competition for exact 25°C (27%) and 26°C (24%) outcomes against a mid-May climatological baseline of 23–25°C at Seoul station. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor KMA's evening hourly guidance for cloud and wind refinements before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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