Recent numerical weather prediction models from major agencies converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and only a modest risk of afternoon showers that could limit surface heating. These conditions align with typical late-spring climatology for the region, where diurnal warming is moderated by humidity and variable cloud cover rather than strong advection or clear-sky insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 28 °C and 29 °C probabilities captures the narrow uncertainty band between model runs, with lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or higher requiring stronger subsidence or reduced cloudiness that current guidance does not support. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 43%
29°C 35%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.6%
NEW
$18,034 Vol.
NEW
$18,034 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
43%
29°C
35%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 35%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.6%
NEW
$18,034 Vol.
NEW
$18,034 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$2,184 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,029 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,584 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,214 Vol.
43%
29°C
$538 Vol.
35%
30°C
$926 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,638 Vol.
6%
32°C
$3,091 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major agencies converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and only a modest risk of afternoon showers that could limit surface heating. These conditions align with typical late-spring climatology for the region, where diurnal warming is moderated by humidity and variable cloud cover rather than strong advection or clear-sky insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 28 °C and 29 °C probabilities captures the narrow uncertainty band between model runs, with lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or higher requiring stronger subsidence or reduced cloudiness that current guidance does not support. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$18,034End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major agencies converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and only a modest risk of afternoon showers that could limit surface heating. These conditions align with typical late-spring climatology for the region, where diurnal warming is moderated by humidity and variable cloud cover rather than strong advection or clear-sky insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 28 °C and 29 °C probabilities captures the narrow uncertainty band between model runs, with lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or higher requiring stronger subsidence or reduced cloudiness that current guidance does not support. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,034End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent numerical weather prediction models from major agencies converge on a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and only a modest risk of afternoon showers that could limit surface heating. These conditions align with typical late-spring climatology for the region, where diurnal warming is moderated by humidity and variable cloud cover rather than strong advection or clear-sky insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 28 °C and 29 °C probabilities captures the narrow uncertainty band between model runs, with lower-probability outcomes for 30 °C or higher requiring stronger subsidence or reduced cloudiness that current guidance does not support. Updated short-range forecasts issued overnight will provide the final observational benchmark for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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