Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (33%) and 17°C (28%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 14, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show ensemble means near 17.5°C amid inherent uncertainty in boundary layer processes and sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects highs in the 17-19°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds suppressing stronger diurnal heating, consistent with May's cool-season averages of 18°C but moderated by recent cooler air advection over the Pampas. Key differentiators include potential low-level cloud persistence favoring 17°C versus clearer skies allowing 18°C; watch SMN's midday update and Aeroparque observatory data for resolution, as urban heat island effects could tip the balance by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
18°C 37%
17°C 34%
16°C 15.2%
19°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
15%
17°C
34%
18°C
37%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
17°C 34%
16°C 15.2%
19°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 14, 2026
13°C or below
$859 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$515 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,607 Vol.
2%
16°C
$916 Vol.
15%
17°C
$860 Vol.
34%
18°C
$597 Vol.
37%
19°C
$629 Vol.
14%
20°C
$342 Vol.
4%
21°C
$769 Vol.
1%
22°C
$403 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (33%) and 17°C (28%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 14, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show ensemble means near 17.5°C amid inherent uncertainty in boundary layer processes and sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects highs in the 17-19°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds suppressing stronger diurnal heating, consistent with May's cool-season averages of 18°C but moderated by recent cooler air advection over the Pampas. Key differentiators include potential low-level cloud persistence favoring 17°C versus clearer skies allowing 18°C; watch SMN's midday update and Aeroparque observatory data for resolution, as urban heat island effects could tip the balance by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$8,820End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (33%) and 17°C (28%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 14, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show ensemble means near 17.5°C amid inherent uncertainty in boundary layer processes and sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects highs in the 17-19°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds suppressing stronger diurnal heating, consistent with May's cool-season averages of 18°C but moderated by recent cooler air advection over the Pampas. Key differentiators include potential low-level cloud persistence favoring 17°C versus clearer skies allowing 18°C; watch SMN's midday update and Aeroparque observatory data for resolution, as urban heat island effects could tip the balance by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,820End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 18°C (33%) and 17°C (28%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 14, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, which show ensemble means near 17.5°C amid inherent uncertainty in boundary layer processes and sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata. The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest guidance projects highs in the 17-19°C range under a stable high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds suppressing stronger diurnal heating, consistent with May's cool-season averages of 18°C but moderated by recent cooler air advection over the Pampas. Key differentiators include potential low-level cloud persistence favoring 17°C versus clearer skies allowing 18°C; watch SMN's midday update and Aeroparque observatory data for resolution, as urban heat island effects could tip the balance by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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