Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 15°C high temperature in Buenos Aires at 86% implied probability, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and real-time observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), where midday readings have peaked near 15°C under persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation. A passing autumnal weather system over the past 48 hours introduced cool southerly advection, with morning lows of 10–12°C and light winds suppressing daytime heating—conditions cooler than the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. International model ensembles support 15–16°C maxima, though partial clearing this afternoon could marginally boost toward 16°C; hourly airport data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
15°C 93.9%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$53,171 Vol.
$53,171 Vol.
May 13, 2026
15°C
94%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 93.9%
16°C 6%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
$53,171 Vol.
$53,171 Vol.
May 13, 2026
15°C
$5,229 Vol.
94%
16°C
$2,681 Vol.
6%
17°C
$3,582 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5,242 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,103 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,999 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,470 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$5,105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 15°C high temperature in Buenos Aires at 86% implied probability, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and real-time observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), where midday readings have peaked near 15°C under persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation. A passing autumnal weather system over the past 48 hours introduced cool southerly advection, with morning lows of 10–12°C and light winds suppressing daytime heating—conditions cooler than the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. International model ensembles support 15–16°C maxima, though partial clearing this afternoon could marginally boost toward 16°C; hourly airport data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$53,171End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 15°C high temperature in Buenos Aires at 86% implied probability, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and real-time observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), where midday readings have peaked near 15°C under persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation. A passing autumnal weather system over the past 48 hours introduced cool southerly advection, with morning lows of 10–12°C and light winds suppressing daytime heating—conditions cooler than the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. International model ensembles support 15–16°C maxima, though partial clearing this afternoon could marginally boost toward 16°C; hourly airport data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,171End Date
May 13, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 15°C high temperature in Buenos Aires at 86% implied probability, aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and real-time observations at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza), where midday readings have peaked near 15°C under persistent cloud cover limiting solar insolation. A passing autumnal weather system over the past 48 hours introduced cool southerly advection, with morning lows of 10–12°C and light winds suppressing daytime heating—conditions cooler than the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. International model ensembles support 15–16°C maxima, though partial clearing this afternoon could marginally boost toward 16°C; hourly airport data through evening will refine the outcome as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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