Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19 centers on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes because current ensemble forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northwestern Europe delivering mild spring air. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs indicate daytime highs near long-term May averages, with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover creating a narrow 1–2°C uncertainty band that splits probability almost evenly between those two bins. Minor Atlantic frontal approaches or increased insolation could nudge readings either way, while cooler North Sea breezes keep lower outcomes like 14°C in play. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19?
14°C 25%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
17°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
25%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
13%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 25%
15°C 21%
16°C 21%
17°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
1%
12°C
$65 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
13%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$15 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19 centers on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes because current ensemble forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northwestern Europe delivering mild spring air. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs indicate daytime highs near long-term May averages, with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover creating a narrow 1–2°C uncertainty band that splits probability almost evenly between those two bins. Minor Atlantic frontal approaches or increased insolation could nudge readings either way, while cooler North Sea breezes keep lower outcomes like 14°C in play. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$105End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19 centers on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes because current ensemble forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northwestern Europe delivering mild spring air. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs indicate daytime highs near long-term May averages, with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover creating a narrow 1–2°C uncertainty band that splits probability almost evenly between those two bins. Minor Atlantic frontal approaches or increased insolation could nudge readings either way, while cooler North Sea breezes keep lower outcomes like 14°C in play. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$105End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMTrader sentiment for the highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 19 centers on 15°C and 16°C as the leading outcomes because current ensemble forecasts show a stable high-pressure ridge over northwestern Europe delivering mild spring air. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs indicate daytime highs near long-term May averages, with light southerly flow and variable cloud cover creating a narrow 1–2°C uncertainty band that splits probability almost evenly between those two bins. Minor Atlantic frontal approaches or increased insolation could nudge readings either way, while cooler North Sea breezes keep lower outcomes like 14°C in play. Fresh model updates expected within 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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