Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 16%
21°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
16%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
14%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
20°C 31%
18°C 16%
21°C 14%
NEW
NEW
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$568 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$296 Vol.
1%
16°C
$130 Vol.
4%
17°C
$97 Vol.
5%
18°C
$230 Vol.
16%
19°C
$308 Vol.
32%
20°C
$153 Vol.
31%
21°C
$250 Vol.
14%
22°C
$166 Vol.
6%
23°C or higher
$700 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,048End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,048End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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