Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 2?
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 32%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 45%
98-99°F 32%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$327 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$333 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,906 Vol.
12%
96-97°F
$1,238 Vol.
45%
98-99°F
$1,090 Vol.
32%
100-101°F
$454 Vol.
14%
102-103°F
$335 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$311 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$201 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$224 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,480End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,480End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a peak temperature near 98–99°F for Houston on August 2 amid ongoing summer heat, with surface highs supported by weak flow, high dew points near 75°F, and limited cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus between the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins reflects typical model spread for maximum temperature on the final day of a heat advisory period, where small differences in afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing can shift the observed high by 2–3°F. Historical August normals near 95°F provide context, but recent above-average conditions and the absence of a strong frontal passage keep probabilities for 100°F+ low while capping downside risk below 96°F. Updated NWS and short-range model runs expected later today will likely refine these narrow ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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