BMKG observational data from Jakarta's official stations, including Halim Perdanakusuma, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 33°C on May 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain that suppressed further warming amid the early dry season onset. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast models projecting 30–33°C highs, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C amplified by urban heat island effects in the equatorial megacity, where concrete surfaces and emissions routinely elevate readings above rural baselines. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this validated evidence, with realistic challenges limited to rare post-hoc data revisions from quality control—unlikely given real-time validation protocols. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 15?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,718 Vol.
$56,718 Vol.
May 15, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,718 Vol.
$56,718 Vol.
May 15, 2026
28°C or below
$2,234 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,249 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,672 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,965 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,233 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,867 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$7,533 Vol.
No
35°C
$6,338 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,997 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,556 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$2,074 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.BMKG observational data from Jakarta's official stations, including Halim Perdanakusuma, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 33°C on May 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain that suppressed further warming amid the early dry season onset. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast models projecting 30–33°C highs, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C amplified by urban heat island effects in the equatorial megacity, where concrete surfaces and emissions routinely elevate readings above rural baselines. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this validated evidence, with realistic challenges limited to rare post-hoc data revisions from quality control—unlikely given real-time validation protocols. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Volume
$56,718End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.BMKG observational data from Jakarta's official stations, including Halim Perdanakusuma, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 33°C on May 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain that suppressed further warming amid the early dry season onset. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast models projecting 30–33°C highs, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C amplified by urban heat island effects in the equatorial megacity, where concrete surfaces and emissions routinely elevate readings above rural baselines. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this validated evidence, with realistic challenges limited to rare post-hoc data revisions from quality control—unlikely given real-time validation protocols. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$56,718End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
BMKG observational data from Jakarta's official stations, including Halim Perdanakusuma, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 33°C on May 15, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain that suppressed further warming amid the early dry season onset. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast models projecting 30–33°C highs, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C amplified by urban heat island effects in the equatorial megacity, where concrete surfaces and emissions routinely elevate readings above rural baselines. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this validated evidence, with realistic challenges limited to rare post-hoc data revisions from quality control—unlikely given real-time validation protocols. Final BMKG daily summary expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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