Traders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Jakarta today, driven by the latest consensus forecast from regional meteorological models showing clear skies and peak afternoon heating under typical equatorial conditions for mid-May. This outcome matches historical baselines from long-term observations by Indonesia’s meteorological agency, where daily highs commonly reach 31–33°C with low variability in the absence of significant rainfall or wind shifts. Strong scientific agreement across model runs reinforces the market-implied odds, though an unexpected increase in convective cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects could still push the verified maximum slightly lower or higher before official station readings finalize the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 17?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$74,249 Vol.
$74,249 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$74,249 Vol.
$74,249 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHTraders have converged on 32°C as the highest temperature in Jakarta today, driven by the latest consensus forecast from regional meteorological models showing clear skies and peak afternoon heating under typical equatorial conditions for mid-May. This outcome matches historical baselines from long-term observations by Indonesia’s meteorological agency, where daily highs commonly reach 31–33°C with low variability in the absence of significant rainfall or wind shifts. Strong scientific agreement across model runs reinforces the market-implied odds, though an unexpected increase in convective cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects could still push the verified maximum slightly lower or higher before official station readings finalize the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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