Recent model consensus from the Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) and global ensembles points to a Jakarta maximum near 33 °C on May 18, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered convective clouds expected to limit further warming after a relatively clear morning. This pattern, typical of the late wet-to-dry transition over western Java, produces daily highs that cluster tightly between 32 °C and 34 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Historical Kemayoran observations confirm this narrow range as the modal outcome for mid-May, while the modest probability mass on 34 °C reflects the chance of slightly drier conditions or delayed convection allowing an extra degree of insolation before storms develop. Updated BMKG guidance and next-model runs tomorrow morning will be the key inputs for any late repricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 18?
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 15%
NEW
$14,190 Vol.
NEW
$14,190 Vol.
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
19%
33°C
38%
34°C
28%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 15%
NEW
$14,190 Vol.
NEW
$14,190 Vol.
May 18, 2026
27°C or below
$1,741 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,203 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$536 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,451 Vol.
4%
32°C
$1,829 Vol.
19%
33°C
$765 Vol.
38%
34°C
$1,107 Vol.
28%
35°C
$2,097 Vol.
15%
36°C
$411 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$1,188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) and global ensembles points to a Jakarta maximum near 33 °C on May 18, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered convective clouds expected to limit further warming after a relatively clear morning. This pattern, typical of the late wet-to-dry transition over western Java, produces daily highs that cluster tightly between 32 °C and 34 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Historical Kemayoran observations confirm this narrow range as the modal outcome for mid-May, while the modest probability mass on 34 °C reflects the chance of slightly drier conditions or delayed convection allowing an extra degree of insolation before storms develop. Updated BMKG guidance and next-model runs tomorrow morning will be the key inputs for any late repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$14,190End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) and global ensembles points to a Jakarta maximum near 33 °C on May 18, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered convective clouds expected to limit further warming after a relatively clear morning. This pattern, typical of the late wet-to-dry transition over western Java, produces daily highs that cluster tightly between 32 °C and 34 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Historical Kemayoran observations confirm this narrow range as the modal outcome for mid-May, while the modest probability mass on 34 °C reflects the chance of slightly drier conditions or delayed convection allowing an extra degree of insolation before storms develop. Updated BMKG guidance and next-model runs tomorrow morning will be the key inputs for any late repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,190End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHRecent model consensus from the Indonesian Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) and global ensembles points to a Jakarta maximum near 33 °C on May 18, with afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered convective clouds expected to limit further warming after a relatively clear morning. This pattern, typical of the late wet-to-dry transition over western Java, produces daily highs that cluster tightly between 32 °C and 34 °C depending on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer humidity. Historical Kemayoran observations confirm this narrow range as the modal outcome for mid-May, while the modest probability mass on 34 °C reflects the chance of slightly drier conditions or delayed convection allowing an extra degree of insolation before storms develop. Updated BMKG guidance and next-model runs tomorrow morning will be the key inputs for any late repricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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