Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 5 reflects typical August monsoon conditions, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and sea-breeze influence from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal temperatures across Sindh but near-normal rainfall that favors patchy showers and thunderstorms, which cap extreme heating and align with model guidance showing highs of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies. With the day already underway and no strong heatwave signals in current observations or short-range forecasts, probabilities remain concentrated in this narrow band while lower or higher thresholds stay marginal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 5?
33°C 51%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.0%
$27,876 Vol.
$27,876 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
40%
33°C
51%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 1.0%
$27,876 Vol.
$27,876 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,226 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5,323 Vol.
40%
33°C
$6,980 Vol.
51%
34°C
$3,531 Vol.
5%
35°C
$4,353 Vol.
1%
36°C
$892 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 5 reflects typical August monsoon conditions, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and sea-breeze influence from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal temperatures across Sindh but near-normal rainfall that favors patchy showers and thunderstorms, which cap extreme heating and align with model guidance showing highs of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies. With the day already underway and no strong heatwave signals in current observations or short-range forecasts, probabilities remain concentrated in this narrow band while lower or higher thresholds stay marginal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volume
$27,876End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 5 reflects typical August monsoon conditions, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and sea-breeze influence from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal temperatures across Sindh but near-normal rainfall that favors patchy showers and thunderstorms, which cap extreme heating and align with model guidance showing highs of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies. With the day already underway and no strong heatwave signals in current observations or short-range forecasts, probabilities remain concentrated in this narrow band while lower or higher thresholds stay marginal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,876End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Karachi’s peak temperature on August 5 reflects typical August monsoon conditions, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and sea-breeze influence from the Arabian Sea moderate daytime maxima near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks note above-normal temperatures across Sindh but near-normal rainfall that favors patchy showers and thunderstorms, which cap extreme heating and align with model guidance showing highs of 30–32°C under mostly cloudy skies. With the day already underway and no strong heatwave signals in current observations or short-range forecasts, probabilities remain concentrated in this narrow band while lower or higher thresholds stay marginal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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