Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月16日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 9%
94-95°F 7.8%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 50%
90-91°F 32%
88-89°F 9%
94-95°F 7.8%
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability (49.5%) to a daily maximum of 92-93°F in Miami on June 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast models that project a continuation of above-average warmth under weak steering flow and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show afternoon highs stabilizing near this threshold after accounting for typical urban heat-island amplification and Atlantic sea-breeze timing. Historical June climatology places Miami’s average daily maximum around 89°F, providing context for the market’s modest upward bias, while uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture keeps secondary bins (90-91°F at 26.0%) viable. Updated model guidance and local observations are scheduled for release overnight, offering the next catalyst for position adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions