Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a high near 16°C on August 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light sprinkles and moderate northwesterly winds, limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 16°C at 61.5% and 15°C at 25%, reflecting consensus from models showing suppressed temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass rather than seasonal averages near 22°C. Key variables include the extent of solar insolation and any timing of precipitation, which could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief 17°C spike if breaks occur. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 63%
15°C 26%
17°C 7%
14°C 5%
$26,394 Vol.
$26,394 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
26%
16°C
63%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 63%
15°C 26%
17°C 7%
14°C 5%
$26,394 Vol.
$26,394 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$1,547 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5,901 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,552 Vol.
5%
15°C
$2,914 Vol.
26%
16°C
$2,258 Vol.
63%
17°C
$3,309 Vol.
7%
18°C
$4,397 Vol.
1%
19°C
$731 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$976 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,426 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a high near 16°C on August 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light sprinkles and moderate northwesterly winds, limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 16°C at 61.5% and 15°C at 25%, reflecting consensus from models showing suppressed temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass rather than seasonal averages near 22°C. Key variables include the extent of solar insolation and any timing of precipitation, which could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief 17°C spike if breaks occur. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$26,394End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a high near 16°C on August 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light sprinkles and moderate northwesterly winds, limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 16°C at 61.5% and 15°C at 25%, reflecting consensus from models showing suppressed temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass rather than seasonal averages near 22°C. Key variables include the extent of solar insolation and any timing of precipitation, which could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief 17°C spike if breaks occur. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,394End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow indicate a high near 16°C on August 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light sprinkles and moderate northwesterly winds, limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 16°C at 61.5% and 15°C at 25%, reflecting consensus from models showing suppressed temperatures due to persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass rather than seasonal averages near 22°C. Key variables include the extent of solar insolation and any timing of precipitation, which could nudge the peak slightly lower or allow a brief 17°C spike if breaks occur. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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