Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a peak temperature near 28°C (83°F) for Moscow on August 5, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning 27°C as the modal outcome at 59.5% implied probability. These conditions align with mid-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks in the late afternoon without significant advection of cooler air or precipitation. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, yet current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the distribution, narrowing odds for 26°C or below while limiting upside beyond 28°C absent unexpected warming. Official resolution will rely on verified station maxima, with final model runs expected to refine this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 60%
28°C 24%
26°C 14%
29°C 3%
$14,304 Vol.
$14,304 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
60%
28°C
24%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 60%
28°C 24%
26°C 14%
29°C 3%
$14,304 Vol.
$14,304 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$1,460 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$653 Vol.
1%
26°C
$975 Vol.
14%
27°C
$1,993 Vol.
60%
28°C
$1,783 Vol.
24%
29°C
$1,059 Vol.
3%
30°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$831 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,953 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a peak temperature near 28°C (83°F) for Moscow on August 5, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning 27°C as the modal outcome at 59.5% implied probability. These conditions align with mid-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks in the late afternoon without significant advection of cooler air or precipitation. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, yet current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the distribution, narrowing odds for 26°C or below while limiting upside beyond 28°C absent unexpected warming. Official resolution will rely on verified station maxima, with final model runs expected to refine this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$14,304End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a peak temperature near 28°C (83°F) for Moscow on August 5, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning 27°C as the modal outcome at 59.5% implied probability. These conditions align with mid-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks in the late afternoon without significant advection of cooler air or precipitation. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, yet current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the distribution, narrowing odds for 26°C or below while limiting upside beyond 28°C absent unexpected warming. Official resolution will rely on verified station maxima, with final model runs expected to refine this range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,304End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a peak temperature near 28°C (83°F) for Moscow on August 5, 2026, under mostly clear skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning 27°C as the modal outcome at 59.5% implied probability. These conditions align with mid-summer patterns where daytime heating peaks in the late afternoon without significant advection of cooler air or precipitation. Historical August averages hover around 24°C, yet current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the distribution, narrowing odds for 26°C or below while limiting upside beyond 28°C absent unexpected warming. Official resolution will rely on verified station maxima, with final model runs expected to refine this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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