Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F high for New York City on August 16, 2026, based on official National Weather Service observations from stations including JFK and Central Park confirming a maximum of 81°F reached in the early afternoon. This aligns with mid-August climatology, moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points limiting strong afternoon heating after the July heat wave subsided. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs consistently projected low-80s readings without boundary-layer anomalies or ridging capable of pushing temperatures higher. The outcome could face minor revision only in the event of post-event data corrections or station-specific discrepancies, though historical resolution relies on verified Central Park records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 16?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$98,812 Vol.
$98,812 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$98,812 Vol.
$98,812 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
71°F or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$214 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$25,379 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$19,777 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$11,585 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$15,107 Vol.
100%
82-83°F
$11,486 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$7,491 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$4,918 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$2,062 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$582 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F high for New York City on August 16, 2026, based on official National Weather Service observations from stations including JFK and Central Park confirming a maximum of 81°F reached in the early afternoon. This aligns with mid-August climatology, moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points limiting strong afternoon heating after the July heat wave subsided. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs consistently projected low-80s readings without boundary-layer anomalies or ridging capable of pushing temperatures higher. The outcome could face minor revision only in the event of post-event data corrections or station-specific discrepancies, though historical resolution relies on verified Central Park records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$98,812End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F high for New York City on August 16, 2026, based on official National Weather Service observations from stations including JFK and Central Park confirming a maximum of 81°F reached in the early afternoon. This aligns with mid-August climatology, moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points limiting strong afternoon heating after the July heat wave subsided. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs consistently projected low-80s readings without boundary-layer anomalies or ridging capable of pushing temperatures higher. The outcome could face minor revision only in the event of post-event data corrections or station-specific discrepancies, though historical resolution relies on verified Central Park records.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98,812End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on an 80-81°F high for New York City on August 16, 2026, based on official National Weather Service observations from stations including JFK and Central Park confirming a maximum of 81°F reached in the early afternoon. This aligns with mid-August climatology, moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and dew points limiting strong afternoon heating after the July heat wave subsided. National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs consistently projected low-80s readings without boundary-layer anomalies or ridging capable of pushing temperatures higher. The outcome could face minor revision only in the event of post-event data corrections or station-specific discrepancies, though historical resolution relies on verified Central Park records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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