Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 2?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 2?
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 24%
78-79°F 22%
80-81°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
67°F or below
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$32 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$26 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$65 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$703 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$16 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$317 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$401 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$1,059 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$889 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$961 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,829End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,829End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 2, 2026, call for a high near 77–78°F under sunny conditions following morning haze, consistent with the market’s concentration of probability in the 74–79°F range. A gradual warming trend through the weekend, driven by a flattening upper-level ridge and reduced marine-layer influence, supports these outcomes amid typical summer onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. Historical August averages near 70°F provide context, while model consensus and the proximity of resolution limit upside risk beyond 80°F. Traders appear to weigh the current forecast guidance and limited day-to-day variability against the possibility of minor adjustments in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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