Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for June 16 points to a marine layer and onshore flow moderating San Francisco highs into the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 70-71°F band holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, depth of the marine layer, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming; historical June climatology shows typical highs near 68-70°F, but model spread arises from subtle differences in offshore flow strength and cloud cover. Official observations at KSFO will resolve the market, and the next model update cycle plus any NWS forecast discussion could shift sentiment if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 16?
70-71°F 30%
72-73°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 30%
72-73°F 19%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
65°F or below
$111 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$31 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$35 Vol.
30%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$118 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$36 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$311 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for June 16 points to a marine layer and onshore flow moderating San Francisco highs into the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 70-71°F band holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, depth of the marine layer, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming; historical June climatology shows typical highs near 68-70°F, but model spread arises from subtle differences in offshore flow strength and cloud cover. Official observations at KSFO will resolve the market, and the next model update cycle plus any NWS forecast discussion could shift sentiment if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:11 PM ET
Volume
$261End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for June 16 points to a marine layer and onshore flow moderating San Francisco highs into the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 70-71°F band holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, depth of the marine layer, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming; historical June climatology shows typical highs near 68-70°F, but model spread arises from subtle differences in offshore flow strength and cloud cover. Official observations at KSFO will resolve the market, and the next model update cycle plus any NWS forecast discussion could shift sentiment if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$261End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:11 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for June 16 points to a marine layer and onshore flow moderating San Francisco highs into the upper 60s to low 70s, with the 70-71°F band holding the highest implied probability. Key variables include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, depth of the marine layer, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming; historical June climatology shows typical highs near 68-70°F, but model spread arises from subtle differences in offshore flow strength and cloud cover. Official observations at KSFO will resolve the market, and the next model update cycle plus any NWS forecast discussion could shift sentiment if guidance trends warmer or cooler.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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