**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow range between 29–31°C because Panama City’s June climatology produces daily maxima clustered tightly around 30°C, with high uncertainty driven by afternoon convection.** The Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels frequent thunderstorms that develop after midday solar heating, often capping temperatures through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation. Recent model guidance and seasonal patterns indicate a 29°C outcome on June 16 if storms initiate early or linger, while clearer morning conditions or delayed convection could allow brief warming to 30–31°C before rain arrives. Sea-surface temperatures near normal support typical humidity and instability, but small shifts in steering flow or moisture convergence can swing the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official INAMEH observation the following day, traders weigh the latest short-range model runs for any signals of suppressed or enhanced convection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 16?
30°C 34%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
34%
31°C
25%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 34%
31°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$20 Vol.
1%
27°C
$33 Vol.
2%
28°C
$21 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$39 Vol.
34%
31°C
$13 Vol.
25%
32°C
$0 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$119 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow range between 29–31°C because Panama City’s June climatology produces daily maxima clustered tightly around 30°C, with high uncertainty driven by afternoon convection.** The Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels frequent thunderstorms that develop after midday solar heating, often capping temperatures through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation. Recent model guidance and seasonal patterns indicate a 29°C outcome on June 16 if storms initiate early or linger, while clearer morning conditions or delayed convection could allow brief warming to 30–31°C before rain arrives. Sea-surface temperatures near normal support typical humidity and instability, but small shifts in steering flow or moisture convergence can swing the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official INAMEH observation the following day, traders weigh the latest short-range model runs for any signals of suppressed or enhanced convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$247End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow range between 29–31°C because Panama City’s June climatology produces daily maxima clustered tightly around 30°C, with high uncertainty driven by afternoon convection.** The Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels frequent thunderstorms that develop after midday solar heating, often capping temperatures through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation. Recent model guidance and seasonal patterns indicate a 29°C outcome on June 16 if storms initiate early or linger, while clearer morning conditions or delayed convection could allow brief warming to 30–31°C before rain arrives. Sea-surface temperatures near normal support typical humidity and instability, but small shifts in steering flow or moisture convergence can swing the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official INAMEH observation the following day, traders weigh the latest short-range model runs for any signals of suppressed or enhanced convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$247End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on the narrow range between 29–31°C because Panama City’s June climatology produces daily maxima clustered tightly around 30°C, with high uncertainty driven by afternoon convection.** The Intertropical Convergence Zone fuels frequent thunderstorms that develop after midday solar heating, often capping temperatures through increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling, and reduced insolation. Recent model guidance and seasonal patterns indicate a 29°C outcome on June 16 if storms initiate early or linger, while clearer morning conditions or delayed convection could allow brief warming to 30–31°C before rain arrives. Sea-surface temperatures near normal support typical humidity and instability, but small shifts in steering flow or moisture convergence can swing the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution hinging on the official INAMEH observation the following day, traders weigh the latest short-range model runs for any signals of suppressed or enhanced convection.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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